On the eve of the visit of the French president to Russia Marin Le Pen, ceding to Emmanuel Macron in the struggle for the post of head of the republic, urged him to think about rapprochement with our country. And to justify the need for almost allied relations, Le Pen did not bring examples from history, but appealed to an undesirable future for France.
On Thursday, Vladimir Putin will host Emmanuel Macron in St. Petersburg, arriving in Russia on a return visit. Just like a year ago, in France, they will talk in the palace - only Versailles will be replaced by Konstantinovsky. The French president comes a few days after the German chancellor - and at a very important moment for Europe.
The US pressure on Europe has reached a critical mass - everyone in the Old World understands that concessions to Washington on the "Iranian deal" are impossible. Makron is still trying to come up with an option whereby it will be possible to get off with little blood - although it is clear that in Moscow he will hear from Putin a lot of playful pods over French independence.
Которая как раз сейчас проходит испытание – если по санкциям против России Париж был вынужден прогнуться под Вашингтон, то уступка по иранской теме приведет к долгосрочной дискредитации всей европейской политической элиты. Но у Франсуа Олланда не было серьезных амбиций, так что позор с «Мистралями» он не принимал близко к сердцу – а у Макрона они есть, так что просто так он нажиму Трампа не уступит.
However, the discussion of the borders of Europe's independence, although it will be the main implied topic of the talks between Putin and Macron, ultimately rests on the choice of the path that our western neighbor is now making.
In what situation does Europe want to be in the medium term, in what world does it want to live?
Her relationship with Russia is only a derivative of the answer to this question. And in France, the main part of the political class understands that Europe needs to be freed from dependence - without it, it will lose both itself and its influence.
Другое дело, что не все озвучивают это так откровенно, как Марин Ле Пен, лидер «Национального фронта». Макрон, претендующий на роль политического лидера Евросоюза, в ходе недавней поездки в США говорил о приверженности атлантическому выбору – а сейчас, в Санкт-Петербурге, он наверняка будет делать акцент на повышении роли Европы, на общеевропейских интересах, на важности взаимодействия с Россией. Понятно, что Макрону хочется и улучшить франко-русские отношения, и перехватить у Германии европейское лидерство, и сохранить близкие связи с США – всё сразу. Однако сейчас Франция находится в невыгодном положении, которое приведет и ее, и единую Европу к нерадостному будущему. Именно об этом и напомнила в среду Марин Ле Пен.
Speaking about the upcoming trip to Russia Macron, Le Pen said that "I would like him to listen to common sense and thought about rapprochement with Russia. This is a great nation, and we are absolutely not interested in hostile relations with it. " Calling Russia one of the key players in the fight against Islam, Le Pen called "in this regard ... to maintain with her strengthened, allied relations": "
"It is a big mistake to lead a cold war against Russia, at the request of the United States and NATO, and thereby push it into China's embrace, which creates the risk of a powerful force, before which we will only have to cry."
If the words that France is profitable to be with Russia, Le Pen repeats regularly, then in the explanation of the danger of the Cold War, new notes have appeared. More precisely, they are not new to Western analysts, but they are rarely used by the political class.
It is a question of Le Pen's warning that, by his confrontation with Russia, the West is pushing it toward an alliance with China, which will subsequently be the one to suffer. In itself, this prophecy of Le Pen can already be considered banal - the unification efforts of Moscow and Beijing is the most terrible scenario for the United States. At the same time, America is doing everything to strengthen Russian-Chinese relations - in spite of its own strategic interests.
Another thing is that Moscow and Beijing would converge and without American pressure on each of them - because they are being pushed to each other by common interests in the restructuring of the international order, that is, the deconstruction of the "peace in American way." But US pressure, of course, only strengthens Russia and China in understanding the correctness of the choice they made in favor of ever closer rapprochement.
Do they understand in the United States that the pressure on Russia and China is just approaching the time of the end of their global leadership? People like Kissinger certainly realize this, but there is a feeling that no one can change the trajectory of the American ice rink.
And now not only the US sees for itself a threat in the Russian-Chinese alliance - Europe also understands the disadvantage it will be. The EU is potentially a rival to the United States - but in order to be on a geopolitical scale, it must first free itself from American control. But by the time he can afford to free himself from the Atlantic hand, it may be too late - with joint efforts with the US, Europe will grow the Eurasian giant. With which it will be impossible to compete.
It's not just about the alliance between Russia and China - it's about what can grow on the basis of the Eurasian Union and the Chinese project of the "New Silk Road", which, as is known, primarily includes the states of Asia. On the basis of economic rapprochement backed by geopolitical cooperation within the SCO framework, a force can emerge on the Eurasian space, against which even Europe will be lost. Russia, China, India, Iran, Turkey, Pakistan and the states of Southeast Asia, from Vietnam to Malaysia.
Moving the center of gravity of the world towards the Pacific Ocean and so it is, but with the consolidation around the center of Eurasia half of humanity there will be a completely new map of the world. In which Europe really will only have to cry - remembering those few centuries that she was the lord of the world and the center of the universe.