In a private conversation, one of my close acquaintances Vitaly Tretyakov briefly described his first conversation with the new president of Russia in 2000-year. When asked about the measures in the internal life, Vladimir Putin emotionally said: Vitali, what inner life, the country has catastrophically lost control and security! ..
Just on the eve of his first presidential term, 30 December 1999, the Independent newspaper published a programmatic article by Putin "Russia at the Turn of the Millennium", followed by "Russia: New Oriental Perspectives" (09.11.2000.), Which set out not only the main problems of governance And security, but even then the prospects for the turn of the largest Eurasian power to the East are outlined.
Why, contrary to the prevailing opinion about the supposedly reflexive and unsystematic after-effect of Vladimir Putin on Western sanctions, already at the very beginning of his presidential term, he soberly assessed the future problems of Russia with the West?
I must say that what happened to our country at the end of the 20-th century has many explanations, sometimes mutually exclusive, sometimes complementary, but, unfortunately, the full academic picture has not appeared. Without claiming for completeness, I will cite only a small number of original statements by sufficiently high-ranking figures of the West, with whom we had and have to deal with Russia and our president. And also excerpts from some media.
According to the presentation of American Thinker (American thinker) Herbert E. Meier, deputy chairman of the National Intelligence Council of the CIA in the administration of President Reagan, is the first person to predict the collapse of the USSR in 1980. It was on the basis of his report on the "points of reference" of the Soviet empire that Reagan launched a working group to guide operations to break up the Soviet Union.
Since then, the water has flowed a lot, some are not, and those are far away, but the name of Meyer, as it turned out, is still in demand. But more on that later.
For now, a small parade of character quotes, not all of which, however, survived their predictions, and some are still alive and sometimes even visit Moscow and the Kremlin.
J. Soros,Shortly after the collapse of the USSR in 1992, openly declared: "Now we have finally reached the tidbit, to Russia. At stake is the main kush - the whole state ... ".
Former US Secretary of State Henry Kissinger: "I prefer the chaos and civil war in Russia to the tendency of its reunification into a single, strong, centralized state" (Kissinger G. Diplomacy, Moscow, 1997).
General Colin Powell, US Secretary of State under President George W. Bush: "Russia must forget that it has any interests in the republics of the former USSR ... We will not allow Russia to interfere in the affairs of the former USSR, because the restoration of the USSR is not part of the strategic goals of the government and State of the USA "(2001).
In 1993, the magazine Foreign Affairs published a map illustrating the US geopolitical plans. On it, most of the European territory of the former USSR - the Baltic countries, Ukraine, Belarus, Moldova and the whole Caucasus - was designated as a zone under American control (see Foreign Affairs N 3, 1993).
Zbigniew Brzezinski: "Russia, called the Soviet Union, defied the United States. She was defeated. Now it is not necessary to feed illusions about Russia's great power. It is necessary to discourage the desire for such a way of thinking. Russia will be fragmented and under guardianship. "
Barack Obama: "Last year, when we and our allies labored hard to impose sanctions, some assumed that Mr. Putin's aggression was an example of a mastery of strategy and strength. Well, today America is strong and united with our allies, while Russia is isolated, and its economy is in shreds "(21.01.2015.).
Donald Trump: "Russia has violated the deal, now they are shooting, they are bombing, and all in the same spirit. This should be stopped and done quickly. "
American Carnegie Institution, Adam Stalberg: «…инерция может сделать Россию особенно уязвимой к внешним потрясениям - настолько, что даже относительно небольшие проблемы, вызванные, например, стихийным бедствием, способны вылиться в кризис общенационального характера… Распад государственных структур приведет также к возрастанию международного риска, связанного с возможностью неконтролируемого распространения оружия массового уничтожения и инфекционных заболеваний, а еще способен превратить Россию в арену международной конкуренции соседних с нею государств и наиболее влиятельных держав мира, что, в свою очередь, усугубит факторы, способствующие дезинтеграции России».
Emmanuel Macron: "Aggression comes from Russia, that is, the aggressor is not Ukraine. We also recognize that the annexation of the Crimea is illegal, which means that we all know who started the war and who created this situation, and in what situation we are. "
And, for a snack, we return to the ever-memorable high-ranking gentlemanMeyer of the CIA.
Not so long ago in the same "American Thinker" in the number from 05.08.2014. Goes a lengthy article"How to solve the problem of Putin?" (How to Solve the Putin Problem).
Quote: "... We should give Russian oligarchs and top managers, against whom Western sanctions are directed, to understand that Putin is their problem, not ours. Perhaps these people do not have the political genius and lofty patriotism of our founding fathers, but they are not idiots.
Most likely, they do not need much time to get together for a quiet conversation - for example, in a Moscow office or, more likely, on a yacht somewhere near the Cote d'Azur - to ... well, let's say, decide what will be best for The future of Russia. Since delicacy with the Russians does not work, the US president and his European colleagues should give these people an absolutely clear signal that we are not interested in exactly how they will solve the Putin problem.
If they can convince the good old Vladimir to leave the Kremlin with military honors and a solemn salute, that's fine. If Putin is too stubborn to understand that his career is over, and from the Kremlin he can only be brought forward with his feet with a hole in the back of his head - that will suit us, too. We will not mind black humor either ... For example, when Putin next time will return to Moscow after another visit to his Cuban, Venezuelan or Iranian friends, his aircraft may well be brought down by some dubious insurgents, into whose hands the surface-to-air missile was struck.
The comments, as they say, are superfluous, but they give some indirect answers to the numerous questions connected with the death of the Malaysian MN17 and the West's unwillingness to conduct an objective investigation with the participation of Russian experts and with atypical flights of the Airborne No. 1, Visit to Vladimir Putin by the G20 summit in Hamburg.
By the way, I want to remind you that 15-16 November 2014 in the Australian city of Brisbane also was going to the Twenties and where the West managed to make the Ukrainian question central, and Vladimir Putin, even in the opinion of some particularly passionate media, was almost bankrupt. I think that there was a truth in the incident, from which the Russian president made the right conclusions.
Only three years have passed ...