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11.04.2017 - 16: 05

Russian Interests: Can we rely on China?

The events of recent days, after the US attack on the airbase Shayrat once again stepped up in the Russian blogosphere question about who is an ally of Russia. It is too early to say that the Trump surrendered deep state in the United States. Maybe a blow to the Syrian air base, as well as sending an aircraft carrier connections to the shores of North Korea - a ploy to bring down the attack hawks at home and get well-needed respite. Nevertheless, the question remains. Especially because China makes this all occasions.

Let me remind you that two years ago, 12 May 2015 years, "Huantsyu Shibao" - a subsidiary of the publication of the newspaper "People's Daily" published an article on the Russian-Chinese relations to a very significant title - "Partners, not allies," which is quite sober and pragmatically it described China's approach to building relations with its northern neighbor.

In particular, in the article it notes that "Russia and China have repeatedly stated that they are - partners, but allies. The fact that Russia and China are strategic partners - just a common global trend of our time. Russia Partnership and China corresponds to the strategic interests of both sides. It not only develops their economic cooperation, but also enhances the sense of security and helps to maintain the balance of world power. However, the Russian-Chinese strategic partnership is not a sufficient condition for external lifting each of the countries. And that's why they do not want to because of his friendship to lose the remaining friends. "

After the outbreak of the conflict in Syria, one would think that China and Russia are equally perceive a threat to the integrity and legitimacy of the Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. At the level of claims - yes, China supports the territorial integrity of Syria and Assad. However, this fact is not enough. We need more and deeds. And at this level of China Syrian government almost no real support.

Perhaps this is due to Beijing's commitments to Washington. As the famous sinologist, military intelligence colonel retired Andrey Devyatov: "The Chinese have no such thing as a strategic ally, is the European concept. Western consciousness divides the world into black and white, and the policy is as a party rally in the great chessboard. Working principle of "whoever is not with us is against us." Chinese policy - a card table history. Therefore, the Chinese have: ourselves, our enemies and our allies.

Den Syaopin, Dzhimmi Karter. 1979

enemy status at the same time higher than the status of an ally. The main enemy - the United States is. He has the highest status. Therefore G2 - a group of two enemies. In words, the Chinese have refused to participate in it, but in fact the Group operates, in effect, to 1972 years. Makes it related to the understanding of the role of China and the United States in the economic globalization process. Secret agreement on cooperation between China and the United States from January 1979 years, signed in Washington, DC, when Den Syaopin went to the US and put on a cowboy hat - this is an agreement that the war between them will not be. Due to this, China has carried out what is officially called the building of socialism with Chinese characteristics. Unofficially, it is called a transfer of strategic boundaries of the national territory.

1979 secret agreement was concluded on 20 years 1999 in the year it was prolonged for another 20 years. This is an agreement on a constructive cooperation. Now the interaction of China and the United States moved into a stage of interdependence enemies that solve the problem without the use of military force is only slightly pridushivaya each other in an embrace of friendship. Such relationships are more effective than the arrangements under the good-neighborly relations between Russia and China. "

Perhaps it is linked to the almost complete lack of response of China to the US missile strike on the Syrian air base. If the absence of this reaction, it was still possible to understand at a time when Comrade Xi was trampovskom ranch, the lack of adequate response from the first in economic terms world powers later, to put it mildly, incomprehensible. Especially in the context of a joint Russian-Iranian approach:

"As for the Kremlin, the answer to all these numerous statements and gestures became a single telephone conversation Vladimir Putin spoke with his Iranian counterpart - President Hassan Rouhani. The two leaders condemned "aggressive actions" the United States and called for an impartial investigation of the incident with chemical weapons in Idlib. In fact, the fact that the conversation with the Iranian leader gives a clear and unequivocal answer to the Kremlin all the current proposals, accusations and threats from the West: Moscow not in the least moves in the issue of support for Assad and his position on Syria. "

Chinese flag

It turns out that the real, and not just in words, allies in Syria, only two - Russia and Iran. This is supported by the military forces of these countries on the territory of Syria. And where China's military? After all, if Beijing sent 20-30 thousand of his fighters had long for him is not a problem, given the size of its armed forces, the situation in Syria would be different. However, we do not see. And Moscow should this fact to pay attention.

We are talking not only about the attitude of Beijing to Damascus, but the attitude towards Moscow and Tehran: While our military shed blood, and Beijing has a favorable world trade. It looks like this is not very ... That US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson says that Xi "understanding" attitude to the US strike on an air base Shayrat. Refutation is still in Beijing followed.

Will China play in the premier league of world politics, or will only imitate its greatness as long as there will be one on one with the United States? Perhaps there comes a time when his ability to play in the second, by virtue of its armed forces, as well as a real strategic partnership to prove is not on the game board or on the exercise fields, and in actual combat conditions. And this while our strategic partners from Beijing, questions remain.

A source: A REGNUM

Author: Yuri Baranchik

Tags: Russia, China, Politics, US, international relations, Syria, Analytics