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Israel threatens the new successes of the Syrian army

Israel threatens the new successes of the Syrian army

Tags: Syria, War in the Middle East, Israel, Militants, Terrorism, Army, Middle East, Analytics, Golan, Politics

The strategic maneuvers of the Syrian army greatly complicate Israel, showing a painful reaction when any Shiites appear in the Golan Heights. Even the neighborhood with outspoken terrorists suits Tel Aviv much more. Meanwhile, the SAA is gradually moving deeper into Idlib, which could provoke a pro-American coalition.

Syrian government troops, together with militia fighters, drove the Jebhat al-Nusra group of militants from strategic positions near the source of fresh water Manbige and closed the ring around the stronghold of terrorists in the settlement of Mugr el-Mir, south-west of Damascus. Jihadists managed to overcome the results of fierce battles. It is reported the destruction of several units of equipment.

Arab sources confirm that after the encirclement of Mugr el-Mira and the final liberation of the Beit Jinn district, the leaders of the "an-Nusra" agreed to accept all the conditions of the SAA to surrender their positions. Now they will lay down their arms and are evacuated to the "goblin reserve" - ​​Idlib province.

Previously, the command of government troops repeatedly offered "Jebhat an Nusre" in the Damascus area to capitulate, but the Islamists refused to surrender, counting on the support of Israel, which occupies the neighboring Golan Heights. But after the encirclement of Mugr el-Mira and the fall of Beit-Jinn sharply changed their mind.

The city of Mugr el-Mir is located on the outskirts of Mount Hermon, and everything that happens in the area traditionally attracts increased attention from Israel. The Israelis were really ready to tolerate the neighborhood with the obvious terrorists - Jebhat an Nusra, but the defeat of the jihadists and the transfer of control over the surroundings of Mount Hermon to the government army of Syria caused them unhealthy excitement.

In Israel, they say that "according to Western intelligence services," the Shiite units actively participate in the operation near Damascus and in the Kuneitra area, including Lebanon's Hezbollah, one of the sworn enemies of the Jewish state. The Israelis are in principle convinced that Shia-backed Shiites are far more dangerous to them than Igil *, 'Djebhat an-Nusra' and other jihadist groups combined.

But Syrian government troops and their allies (including Shiites) must solve the problem of jihadist groups at any cost. And this is already the problem of Israel, if there for some reason they can not accept a new reality.

It is another matter that Israel is inclined to aggressive behavior in this situation. He has repeatedly applied missile and bomb strikes on the territory of Syria, especially on those sites near Damascus and in the province of Quneitra, which he considers to be belonging to Shiite detachments. The last time was in early December: Israeli planes bombed the Kisua airbase south of Damascus, which was also considered to be the strong point of Iran "according to Western intelligence services."

As a consequence, the IDF is ready by any means to drive away from the Golan Heights any Shiite detachments and even government forces of Syria, drawing on the religious affiliation of a particular unit. According to this logic, jihadists (and they are from the formal point of view just Sunnis) are more pleasant neighbors than any Shiites.

Especially Shiite groups in this region are almost entirely composed of local residents and do not formally belong to Hezbollah. Israel will still have to realize that near the Mount Hermon there are quite a lot of primordially local Shiite and Druze populations. This could not be squeezed out even by the efforts of jihadists, not that with the help of shouting from Tel Aviv.

The Syrian army is already making concessions to Israel in this region, refusing to use long-range artillery and RCDs near the Golan Heights. Israelis are explicable when, within a radius of 30 kilometers from the Golan Heights, long-range artillery appears on the Syrian territory. A couple of times the Air Force of the Jewish state even attacked the Syrian howitzers, claiming that they fear not so much the SAA, as the possible falling of long-range artillery systems into the hands of "bad guys".

But now there are no "bad guys" around Damascus and in Kuneitra province anymore, and Israel's fears look like ordinary paranoia.

Russian VCS in this region also do not work, since it is considered a "demilitarized zone" under Russian-American agreements. In recent days, our aviation has supported the offensive of government troops in the southern part of the long-suffering province of Idlib. The positions of insurgents "an-Nusra" in the vicinity of the settlements of Abu Dali, Al-Busabi and Marjadjib were bombed. This work provides further advancement of the SAA units towards the strategic base "Abu-al-Duhur" in the east of the region, held by Islamists.

Previously, government troops, attacking from the province of Khama, with the help of Russian combat aircraft were able to repel terrorists from part of the territories on the southern outskirts of Idlib, in particular the Tal Hinzir settlement. In parallel, parts of the SAA are attacking the "reserve" from the city of Hanassera in the south of Aleppo. Little by little, the Syrian army, under the guise of the Russian Federation Air Force, is advancing in both regions, but the "An-Nusra" continues to resist stubbornly. The more moderate groups in Idlib observe the regime of silence, accordingly, they are not bombed.

All this still does not mean the beginning of a large-scale operation against Idlib, since such an assault is still difficult to motivate politically. Despite the obviousness of their views and methods, the constantly changing names and structural composition of the "an-Nusra" is not estimated in the West as unambiguously as IGIL.

Surprisingly, the United States still continues to insist on the existence of a kind of "moderate opposition" financed by a residual principle. In this you can see the personal interest of those CIA employees who have been sitting on unaccountable gigantic money for several years and would not like to lose such a feeder. As a result, the same terrorist groups have changed their names several times in six months, then dissociating themselves from jihadism, then situationally returning to different coalitions with "an-Nusra" and "Al-Qaeda."

In the final analysis, it is difficult to establish real goals within the "reserve". But the farther inward it is, the more bitter the resistance will be. For example, on Catholic Christmas, the Christian city of Mkharda, which is strategically important due to the passing of the rock road (it runs around the whole Latamonian ledge), was subjected to massive shelling from the position of the Jays al-Izza group, which until recently was considered part of the "moderate" and the so-called Syrian free army, moreover, was funded by the CIA.

Now they are cooperating with Jebhat an Nusra. And who are they after that?

* Organization, in respect of which the court accepted an inured decision on liquidation or prohibition of the activity on the grounds provided the Federal Law "On Countering Extremist Activity"

Eugene Kroutikov
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