Today: 24 September 2018
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The parade of sovereignties can turn the EU into Euro-guts

The parade of sovereignties can turn the EU into Euro-guts

Tags: EU, Separatism, Independence, Politics, Analytics, Catalonia, Spain, Europe, West, Italy, Referendum

The European Union is gradually beginning to resemble the late USSR.

After Breckzit, many began to make this comparison, but now this resemblance to the Soviet era of sunset is especially acute in those moments when you hear a loud crackle - it's cracking at the seams of the country that are part of the European Union. It is logical that in Brussels and other European capitals there are politicians and special services that have set themselves the task of fighting against separatists and while they are still doing well, but things are getting worse and worse. Separatists in one form or another come back again and again, and thus they gradually undermine the stability of the states from which they are trying to get out.

An important point - some supporters of the collapse of European states, for example, Catalan separatists, is supported by George Soros, who wants to turn the EU into a federation that consists not of countries but of regions that will depend entirely on the Brussels bureaucracy. Other separatist movements, such as the movements in Lombardy and Veneto, do not enjoy such support, because these movements are based on euroskepticism and hatred of the European Union. However, the separatists of Catalonia, and the Italian separatists together create a feeling of instability of the European Union as a whole. It is clear that if the chain reaction in the form of a parade of sovereignties goes through the EU, the Soros plan to turn the EU into the United States of Europe can work. Especially, for such a much more centralized Europe, for example, Emmanuel Macron is speaking. However, a chain and uncontrolled reaction in the form of a parade of sovereignties can lead to the fact that part of the European Union will indeed become such a "European United States", but another part, more accurately parts of the EU, can simply fall off into free swimming. In this case, from the European Union will remain "Euro-grapes" and everyone, except us, will be very sad.

Over the weekend, there have been interesting events in Spain and Italy. In Spain, the Catalan separatists continued to stagger the regime, to which the central authority in Madrid responded with the actual elimination of the Catalan autonomy. This action is legitimate in terms of the Spanish constitution, but from a political point of view this is a very bad idea, because it can encourage even moderate Catalans to support separatists. This is a big risk, but still you can recognize that if Madrid is ready to go to the end on the most severe scenario, then there are chances to break Catalan resistance. This will not solve the problem in principle, but for a while it will allow Madrid to quash the crisis and think carefully about what to do next, because the elimination of autonomy does not mean the end of separatism, especially if this separatism is supported from the outside.

At the same time, referendums were held in Italy in the provinces of Veneto and Lombardy. The referendums were organized by the right Eurosceptic party "League of the North" and these referendums had several important differences from what was happening in Catalonia. Firstly, the referendums were absolutely legitimate and the Roman authorities, grinding their hearts and teeth, recognized this fact, and, therefore, could not prevent their conduct. Secondly, the Italian Eurosceptics are acting cautiously and the issue of independence has not been put to referendums, and the issue of authorizing local authorities, in the sense of the very "League of the North", which controls key political posts in both regions, to negotiate with the central the power to redistribute taxes, which now go to the central state treasury.

The Italian right-wing Eurosceptics, when choosing between "checkers" and "go," firmly choose to "go" and that they are very different from their Catalan colleagues. In the past, the "League of the North" was opened by a separatist party, but now everything is made smarter and more civilized. In the end, what's the difference, what does the flag look like in the mayor's office, if the money does not go to Rome, but for the most part remain in Lombardy and Veneto? And if the law does not allow to divide Italy, then it's worth not to go to a conflict with the law, but to seize some of the power in Italy itself, and now the "League of the North" goes to the elections to the Italian parliament. The party already has deputies in the Italian parliament, and in the next elections they are likely to become even more. And this means that the votes of the faction of the northern separatists can be exchanged for government concessions on all new and new issues, thus seeking not legal, but actual independence for Veneto and Lombardy.

And now the most important thing and what is not customary to talk about here, especially in the liberal media. All these centrifugal movements in the EU countries are an indicator not only of a deep political crisis, but of signs that the economic crisis in the European Union has not ended, and it does not matter what official statistics show. Both in Catalonia and in Veneto with Lombardy, the issue of independence is very seriously linked to the fact that there is not enough money for everyone, and so that the central government can no longer fill the problem of separatism with money. There is no money and immediately more or less affluent and self-sufficient regions try to lose the need to pay the central budget and subsidize their neighbors. The history teaches us that if money is not found, then the question of taming separatism will have to be solved by force, which means that in the future Europe can get not only one but several of its ATUs. To some extent, this will even be true after what the Europeans have done in Ukraine.

Ruslan Ostashko
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