Today: January 16 2019
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Putin will teach the US and Israel a lesson in Arabic. "Surprises" are just beginning

Putin will teach the US and Israel a lesson in Arabic. "Surprises" are just beginning

Tags: Middle East, Middle East War, Syria, Sudan, Africa, Politics, Israel, USA, Analytics, Egypt, Arms, Ships, Navy, Navy, Armenia, Aircraft, VCS

The recent developments in the front-Asian conditional theater of military operations continue to please with their scale and military-political significance. Indeed, by and large, the operational-strategic picture observed today on the Syrian theater of operations, as well as in northeastern Africa, has become the fruit of the exceptional abilities of representatives of our foreign and defense departments in terms of transferring any negotiations to a Moscow-profitable channel. Moreover, the overall geopolitical situation in the Middle East continues to work in our favor, where several Arab states, located in the Near East and northeast Africa, continue to suffer from the fault of the Israeli and American sides.

One of the main victims of the anti-Iranian "cunning plan" of Tel Aviv and Washington was the Sunni state in north-eastern Africa, Sudan, where under the pretext of Khartoum's support for the Hamas movement (including the licensed production of the first modifications of the Shikhab UBD with the capacities of the Yarmuk production complex for transmission the Israeli Air Force (Hel Haavir) conducted a strike operation against the company. Also for more than 30 years, the current President Omar al-Bashir and the Sudanese Sud face the problem of serious military support for militants from the pro-American "Sudan Liberation Movement", the "Movement for Justice and Equality", as well as the so-called Darfur rebels from Chad, Eritrea and Western countries. It is obvious that after building a large naval base of the Russian Navy in Port Sudan, protected by several lines of echeloned missile defense, as well as motorized rifle divisions, the desire to violate the airspace of this country, to launch missile strikes by the Israeli Air Force, as well as to repair the lawlessness with Involvement of rebel formations of desire will not arise. The base itself, together with the Chinese Navy of Djibouti, will become an excellent zone for A2 / AD to completely restrict the actions of American carrier-based strike groups trying to quickly penetrate the Mediterranean through the waters of the Red Sea and the Suez Canal.

Moments connected with the base in Port Sudan, we have partially considered in our previous work, today we will focus on the return to the Middle East round of the "Great Game" of Egypt, whose actions again instill a well-founded fear especially for the "hotheads" of the Jewish state. As it became known today, the unofficial visit of the delegation of the Russian Defense Ministry on board the IL-62M to Cairo, held last week, was connected not only with the warning of Abdul-Fattah al-Sisi about the imminent appearance of a new military facility on the Red Sea coast in Sudan, but also with a more important military-political event of regional importance. It is about reaching an agreement between Moscow and Cairo to use airbases in Egypt by tactical aviation of the Russian Aerospace Forces. The draft agreement, designed for the 5-year period, already signed by Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev 28 November, was published by the Government of Russia a day later, and was not accompanied by any comments from high-ranking officials of the defense ministry of Egypt. Therefore, everything has already been predetermined.

It is known that in the middle of 50-ies. During the Suez crisis, when Egypt was subjected to Anglo-French-Israeli aggression, at the request of then-President Gamal Abdel Nasser, a limited military contingent of the USSR Armed Forces was sent to the country, represented mainly by instructors in the use of MiG fighters, Il-28 front bombers and T-34 tanks, as well as other specialists for training engineering units, etc. Later, beginning in October 1967, after the defeat of the Egyptian army by the Israeli armed forces, Cairo received from the Soviet Union another 60 Su-7 fighter-bombers, a hundred MiG-21F-13 fighters, and 50 twin-engine MiG-19. In the same year, at the request of President Nasser and the Egyptian Government, a consolidated military formation of the Soviet troops was sent to the strategically important Middle East state, which during the entire "War of Depletion" (low-intensity Egyptian-Israeli conflict from 1967 to 1970) engineering and technical support to the Egyptian army, which eventually allowed the Egyptians to more technically manifest themselves during the "Judgment Day War" (1973 year), despite the final defeat. After the end of the "Judgment Day War", the personnel of the USSR Armed Forces were present in the conflict zone only within the framework of the UN peacekeeping contingent in the Middle East (UNEF II).

Therefore, the current agreement on the use of Egyptian airfields by tactical fighter aircraft of the Russian Air Force marks the almost complete restoration of Moscow's presence in the Eastern Mediterranean and the Middle East. In particular, the presence of high-precision Su-34 front-line fighter-bombers and Su-30SM multi-purpose fighters at Egyptian airbases makes it possible to form long-range anti-ship and anti-aircraft A2 / AD lines that block access to the ships of the US Navy, the United NAV, as well as anti-submarine and tactical aviation of the North Atlantic alliance. The long-range approaches cover not only the Russian military facilities on the territory of Egypt, but also the infrastructure of the TAPP (logistics center) Tartus, as well as the air base of Khmeimim. Control over remote areas of the aerospace space (at times of increasing tension in the region) over the Mediterranean Sea will be carried out by operators of aircrafts DRLOiU A-50, escorted by links Su-30SM or Su-35S with AvB Khmeimim. Air radars A-50U will operate precisely from Syrian airfields, since the aircraft of the Russian Airborne Force are missing in the document on the use of the infrastructure of Egyptian air bases.

Secondly, the regular presence of Russian VCS in Egypt with the possibility of basing the fleet anti-submarine aircraft Il-38H and other auxiliary means of optoelectronic, radio-electronic and hydroacoustic reconnaissance will make it possible to stop attempts to penetrate Egypt by special forces of the United States and Great Britain ("Maritime seals, etc.) through compact high-speed Cyclone boats, CRRC inflatable rubber boats, air cushion ships, or submarine modules-mini SDV submarines operating from standardized Dry-Deck Shelter dock cameras, adapted for use on modernized multi-purpose nuclear submarines of the Los Angeles class and ultra-low-noise atomic submarines of the Virginia class. These funds can be used by the US Navy to attempt to block the Suez Canal and the naval base of Port Sudan in the Red Sea.

Thirdly, the deployment of additional fighter squadrons or even air regiments of Russian Aerospace Forces also in Egypt can have a sobering effect on Israel before developing any large-scale military actions against the Armed Forces of Lebanon or Syria. Fully controlled by Russian combat aviation, the neutral airspace, located to the south of Cyprus, will become the most powerful deterrent for the command of Hel Haavir. As for the direct benefit to the situation in Northeast Africa from the Russian presence in Egypt, it will undoubtedly be at the level of benefit from the base in Port Sudan. This is a reduction in the number of Islamic groups on the Sudanese-Egyptian border, and a lesser likelihood of conflict on the basis of the struggle for the water resources of the tributaries of the Nile. The return of Russian influence to the Middle East in the scale observed today (from Eritrea to Damascus) finally nullifies the "key effect" from the new stages of the old American plan, codenamed "Rozhava", whose goal is to divide Front Asia into a mass of non-state-groupings of Sunni and Shiite origin (according to the "Balkan scenario"). They will be able to divide the region, while the strategic control sectors in the area of ​​the most important Suez Canal continue to remain in Moscow's hands.

Evgeny Damantsev
Military Review
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