"Things between the US and Russia will go perfectly. At the time, everyone will come to their senses and lasting peace will come! "This entry in Twitter Trump at the end of Tillerson Secretary of State's visit to Moscow was confused those who expect a new round of Russian-American confrontation. How could understand the results of the negotiations Tillerson and Mr. Putin?
This picture five years - Russian Prime Minister meets with the head of ExxonMobil, 16 years 2012 April
Tillerson visit was unique in many respects. Suffice it to the fact that for the first time in modern Russian, and Soviet history does not appear no official reports of meetings of the heads of Russia and the US secretary of state. There was even published pictures of the protocol, not to mention the video or the transcript of the beginning of the conversation. In general, the fact of the meeting, we only know from the words of Lavrov took part in it, and Tillerson, well, and of the answer to questions from the press secretary of the president of Russia.
How to understand such an approach? This unprecedented demonstrative gesture Vladimir Putin went quite deliberately - to show the degree of discontent in Moscow by the atmosphere, which Washington created on the eve of the visit Tillerson. More precisely - a blow to the Syrian air base that Trump decided to strike on the day of arrival to his Chinese leader Xi Jinping. Moscow previously put on notice warned, even in the Kremlin realized that Trump hit primarily by the Inter their opponents - but it did not change at least irritation from this style of Trump. To solve their internal problems, getting rid of the label of "Putin's puppet," still all right. But here is to arrange such a show in front of the Chinese leader, thus throwing a shadow on relations between Moscow and Beijing - this is too much.
Yes, Beijing has not changed its position on Syria nor, much less on relations with Russia, but Moscow found it necessary to emphasize the immutability of the policy of rapprochement with China. On Thursday, talking about coming in the same day, Putin's meeting with the first vice-premier of China, Dmitry Peskov, first used the term "alliance" with regard to the Russian-Chinese relations. And this is also an important demonstration: Moscow understands the meaning of the US game against the rapprochement between Russia and China.
Well, in the United States address all been said before meeting with Tillerson. And she has become really a turning point in the set for a pause in Russian-American relations.
Rex Tillerson spoke to the president of Russia for two hours. Wednesday night in Moscow and Washington share a few hours, but when the president of the Trump spoke at a press conference with NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg, he already knew about the results of the meetings, which were held in the Russian capital at its special envoy. Not in detail, but, apparently, in general terms, the Secretary of State has told the president of his conversation with Putin. That's why Trump called the visit "very successful", "maybe even better than expected." Recalling that the Russian and US relations "probably are at historically low point," Trump said he still hopes that the US and its allies "will be able to get along with Russia" and that "it would be nice."
And on Thursday morning, Trump tweeted: "Things between the US and Russia will go perfectly. At the time, everyone will come to their senses and lasting peace will come! "
What gives cause for optimism Trump? Or is it again a part of his "treacherous game" - to talk about friendship, and then hit the Syrian Air Force Base? After all, the so-evaluate strategy Trump, many Russian observers experiencing, as if Putin is not seduced by such "cunning traps" and not sacrifice national interests of Russia for the sake of illusory hopes for improved relations with the United States. Such childish naive view of the Trump and Putin is not uncommon in our country, but it has no relation to reality. That Trump wants and what he plays with Putin?
Trump wants to dialogue on equal terms - yes, as it may seem strange, it does not feel equal to Putin. Not because Putin once great, but because the Russian president has certain skills strategy game in geopolitics and experience in the implementation of its plans, the ability to defend the interests of his country.
Trump wants to be the same as Putin. And he realizes that he has no time to gain experience of the geopolitical game that the Russian president has received in recent years 18. Trump really respects Putin wants to show him that he is also a strong player. Not only Putin, of course, to all world leaders - but in fact for him to have a value of just a few people: in addition to the president of Russia is Xi Jinping, Shinzo Abe, Narendra Modi ... They Trump will carry a great game in the next four, and even eight years.
Trump is the strongest player in the business, that is, in human relations - and he proved it by winning the presidential election is almost alone, without the support of the party machine or serious following establishment. But in international affairs, it has little experience. He has a strong advisers on geopolitics - including the most experienced and smart player in the international relations of living Americans Genri Kissindzhera.
Geopolitical philosophy Trump, his ideas about the place and role of the US in the world, his plans - all of which can be adjusted under the influence of advisers and situation, under pressure of circumstances and different forces, but in general they remain unchanged. The man does not change his beliefs in 70 years. Trump believes that America should do themselves, not rule the nations and be a world leader due to its power, not control everything. But the US could do their economy, they need to create an enabling environment in the outside world. Make it so that foreign policy was less costly and globalist, with other countries to buy US goods, not to delay the Americas to their problems, but respected her. This view may seem naive, but it is inherent in the principle of Trump and beneficial to the world community. Another thing, what methods Trump will achieve this goal.
To do them, States should have good conditions in its relations with other players - the EU, China, Russia. The current US relationship with them Trump estimates as unfavorable. Europe, according to Trump, she has to pay for NATO, China should buy more US goods and fewer supply its in the United States. As for Russia, then to her at Trump claims much smaller. He somehow just reckoned with Russia to resolve the problems that plague America to engage in a: in particular, the LIH *. But Russia claims to have Anglo-Saxon elite, which equally do not like Putin and Trump. And it beats Trump Putin - supposedly a puppet, Russian connection.
And then Trump need to show that he is on his own. Well, and in addition, it is necessary to prepare for the conversation with Putin - that is, to take a strong position.
How to achieve this? And here it is already beginning to play the role of the character Trump - he likes to push, to raise rates, "run down". Demand more - get less. Trump uses this method with China, Europe, and Russia. In a personal conversation with Xi Jinping Trump shows maximum respect, and then tells him about the attack on Syria, carefully watching the reaction of the guests. But Trump does not want war - it checks to see how much and whether it will be possible to push the enemy. If it does not work - do not worry, the relationship will be built on the basis of their positions.
Russia has responded to trampovskie techniques to increase interest rates in the same Syria. Vladimir Putin's words - "Boring, a girl" - was treated as just an attempt to push the Kremlin to make concessions. And Trump does not need concessions on Syria, he needed concessions in terms of recognition of its strong position. Putin was due, according to the Trump, and see that he is dealing with a strong contender that would give confidence to the President of the USA in the subsequent bargaining with Russia. But Vladimir Putin has made a straight face and made it clear that the manner of inflation rates was not impressive. Putin helps not only his experience, but also a clear understanding that Trump is bluffing, that in reality he should not aggravate relations with Russia, and their recovery. Putin "reads" the motivation Trump.
There is, however, really difficult situation. He openly talked about this back in February, when complaining that hysteria over "Russian ties" prevents him to establish relations with Russia and now Putin thinks that with him you can not make a deal, he can not be trusted.
Indeed, all this time, Trump was not possible to conduct a direct dialogue with Putin. One large and two short conversation on the phone - that's all it was for six months. Now, on a visit Tillerson, the situation is changing - for the first time Trump was able to convey to Putin that he wanted to hear, and in response, Putin saw fit to convey personally to Trump.
It was funny to hear about any ultimatums - Tillerson conversation with Putin would only apply to the establishment of relations between the Kremlin and the White House. Dialogue, conversation, which is now finally underway. Judging by how much effort over the last six months has been applied in order to prevent the possibility of the beginning of this dialogue, the fact that he still held, can be considered a major success.