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28.06.2017 - 08: 00

Serbian expert: Russia suffered a strategic defeat in the Balkans

The activity around the Russian-Serbian humanitarian center in Nis, shown during the last week by the Russian embassy, ​​is nothing more than a covert invitation to the Serbian side to actualize the issue of cooperation in different directions. This opinion was expressed by 27 June EADaily doctor of political science, a member of the Institute for European Studies in Belgrade Stevan Gaiich.

But, according to the expert, this should have been done earlier, at least until the presidential elections, recently held in Serbia. "A few years ago it was clear to me that the Serbian Progressive Party would deceive the Russian partners, and that nothing would come out of this center," Stevan Gaiich noted with regret.

The very cause of the problem should be looked for much deeper and at a much earlier time, he said. "Russia suffered a strategic defeat in the Balkans. I believe that this is the consequence of a fundamentally bad policy. In this policy, we can note several very important omissions, "the expert continued.

As he believes, the first such moment occurred in 2003 year, when Russia withdrew its troops from Kosovo. Then, when 2006 held a referendum in Montenegro for withdrawing from the joint state of Serbia and Montenegro, "Russia not only did not show any intention to intervene, but, moreover, signaled that it fully agrees with this state of affairs," he said. Gaiç. This, in his opinion, is evidenced by the huge flow of Russian investments, which then went to Montenegro.

The next mistake, according to the expert, was that Moscow believed in the pro-Russian orientation of the President of SerbiaTomislav NikolicAnd premiereIvica Dacic. "The Serb Progressive Party itself (which is now in power) was created on the fragments of the Serbian Radical Party just in order to take the votes of patriotic voters and prevent a truly patriotic force from coming to power in Serbia. The West was very pleased with this, and I believe that now he should have even more reasons for pleasure, "the expert said.

The last serious miscalculation of the Kremlin in the Balkans Stevan Gaiich believes thatВладимир ПутинPersonally took in MoscowAlexandra VucicThree days before the presidential elections in Serbia, showing him direct support in the eyes of the Serbian population. "The majority of Serbs, in which I include myself, are pro-Russian. This helped Vucic win the elections, "the Serbian political scientist believes.

"What do we see, what is the first concrete political step of Alexander Vucic after winning the election? This is his decision to appoint Prime minister Anu Brnabic, who is closely connected with American non-profit organizations, and, moreover, does not hide his unconventional sexual orientation, "Gaiç recalled. Thus, the leadership of Serbia, enlisting the support of the Russian Federation, began to promote directly opposite values ​​in comparison with those for which Moscow stands.

"I think that on the basis of this, perhaps, not very important fact, one can foresee the policy pursued by Alexander Vucic," the Serbian political scientist said. On the one hand, Serbia will officially adhere to military neutrality. But after Montenegro's entry into NATO, the situation may change. "In any event, Serbia will be drawn deeper into NATO, perhaps, up to a formal entry into the organization," he suggested.

The path of Montenegro to NATO, for which Moscow has been watching for a number of years, Stevan Gaiich considers another omission of Russia in the Balkan direction. Which, he explained, has far-reaching consequences for Serbia as well. "Moscow did not foresee that if Montenegro does not have a" Serbian "character, then it will have an anti-Serb character. The same applies to Ukraine. If Ukraine does not have a Russian identity, it will have exactly the opposite, "anti-Russian" identity, and it will be "anti-Russia". Just like Croatia is "anti-Serbia", - said the political scientist.

Comparing the recent experience of Russian policy in the Balkans with the actions of the Russian Federation towards Ukraine, Gaiich noted: "It can be seen that Moscow has a tendency to maintain official power, whatever it is. Until she at least formally does not show a hostile attitude toward Russia. This is a strategic problem for Moscow everywhere. I believe that in Belarus, not everything is so clear, "the interlocutor concluded.EADaily.

EADailyRecalls that the issue of the official status of the Russian-Serbian humanitarian center in the city of Nish was raised by the Russian ambassador in SerbiaAlexander Chepurin. In conversation with journalists after a meeting with the mayor of the Serbian city, he said that he does not understand why the Center has not yet received an official status. Earlier, the topic of the humanitarian center in Nis was touched by the official representative of the Russian Foreign MinistryMaria ZakharovaAt a briefing for the press. She then urged the United States to stop looking for "Russian spies" in it and invited representatives of the American diplomatic mission in Belgrade to personally visit the Center.

A source: EADaily

Tags: Serbia, Balkans, Politics, Analysis, Russia, West, NATO, Europe