Today: January 22 2019
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The US came close to the dilemma:

The US came close to the dilemma: "To be or not to be"

Tags: USA, Russia, Trump, Putin, Politics, International relations, Analytics, War, Asia, Syria, Ukraine, DPRK

The meeting of the Russian and US presidents in the Vietnamese city of Danang within the framework of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit will be a turning point for the US global project. Either there will be a war in this region, or the Americans will agree with Putin, "political scientist and journalist Leonid Krutakov told

"Donald Trump voiced the agenda of the meeting with the Russian President 10 November - these are North Korea, Syria and Ukraine." These are the three hot spots where the old global order rested on the front line in the new emerging world. "At these points, according to the expert, will decide which scenario will further resolve the conflict on the global agenda - a direct military clash, or negotiations.

"In Syria and Ukraine, we see that the situation is stalemate, none of the parties is ready for the continuation of hostilities, the situation requires a negotiating round, after which a decision will be made." Leonid Krutakov described the conflicting global projects. The first one is an American one, "which adjusts everything to a single standard." "You give us your sovereignty for outsourcing, and we will decide how to properly dispose of it and pay you interest," the project says.

The second project is a project of China, Russia and India, the political scientist said. "It is realized within the framework of the SCO, BRICS and the EEA, where everything is decided not by dictates, but by the harmonization of interests, and each of the countries sacrifices something by finding a consensus." Trump, according to the expert, a difficult task - to break this alliance, or to seek a common language with him. The Americans hoped for the "national egoism" of the participants in the alternative project, but it begins to retreat before the large integration projects of the BRICS and the SCO. And the further this process goes, the harder it will be to break it, and the US has very little time left, Leonid Krutakov said.

"They are not only in a stalemate, they are in time trouble, they are on the check-box, and if the flag falls, then a nuclear strike can happen over North Korea." And Pyongyang will respond, that is, the chess game is in such a state when the best way is to flick figures from the board, and say: "Let's start again." And the figures from the board look like war. "

To predict which of the options - the war or the contract will be implemented, you need to know the number of decision parameters, which are very many, said Leonid Krutakov. For example, the declared debt of the US is 20 trillion, and according to some data - 60 with an excess of trillions of dollars, taking into account all municipal and corporate obligations.

At the same time, America's GDP does not reach 20 trillion. "The US needs assets to provide these debts by redivision of the world by war," or it is necessary to reduce their obligations to the population. "But the last state will not go." Americans are used to live with five cars, and have breakfast, lunch and dinner in restaurants, but not at home. This means that no government can withstand the reduction of obligations. It will simply be swept away. "

Therefore, for Trump really difficult situation, - said the political scientist. "War, it's not just ammunition, it's the subsequent recovery: loans, supplies and crazy earnings." There are so many decision-making parameters that you need to be inside this situation so you can predict what decision will be made, "concluded Leonid Krutakov .

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