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28.12.2016 - 11: 10

The Guardian: 2017 year threatens Europe's political "apocalypse"

Europe 2017 year can expect a political "apocalypse": the collapse of the ruling elites, Death of terrorist attacks and a new wave of migration the EU plunged into a crisis that Brussels will hardly be able to overcome, he says columnist The Guardian, John Henley.

The author believes that "apocalyptic scenario" for Europe would be: at the beginning of the year the EU intelligence agencies admit blunders again, and one of the capitals of the Old World will happen resonant terrorist attack. The first to take advantage of a growing sense of helplessness in the face of terrorism will be a Dutch right politician Geert Wilders, whose party with a high probability will win the parliamentary election in the Netherlands in March next year. Henley stressed that in the context of the crisis of European security Wilders hard line in relation to migration issues play into the hands of the Dutch policy, and strengthen the position of its "Freedom Party".

Next columnist warns of the dangers posed by Turkey. Termination of negotiations on visa-free regime, freezing discuss the country's membership in the EU and Erdogan tough criticism from European officials may provoke a crisis in relations between Brussels and Ankara. The most likely answer to the Turkish leader to further "cooling" will provide the refugees hosted in Turkey, "Corridor" in European countries. The author is convinced that this step could radically change the political landscape of the EU. Three million refugees flock to the "wealthy" countries of Europe on the eve of elections in France and Italy, which will undoubtedly strengthen the position of EU opponents.

If this happens, then in power in France, Italy and Germany will come eurosceptics, writes Henley. In this Marine Le Pen has said that if he wins the presidential election, it will initiate a referendum to withdraw France from the EU. The Netherlands, according to the author, and follow her example, and in Italy "Five Star Movement" is likely to deliver the return of the Italian lira.

"It will be very bad if it all happen," - says the author. Nevertheless, he is convinced that Europe will not be able to avoid shocks. "Over Europe are blowing wind of change, and it is strange if we see new victims in the face of the political elite" - writes columnist.

Henley but hopes that "apocalyptic" scenario does not come true, and the coming year will be calmer the past both for Europe and for the world.

A source: RIA News

Tags: Europe, Migration, Refugees, opinions, EU