Initially the meeting and talks US President Donald Trump with his Turkish counterpart Recep Tayyip Erdogan, accompanied by increased attention on the part of the Turkish media. Especially TV channels: they kept his audience in a state of tension, was broadcast live each step of Erdogan, departing with his Chinese spouse in the United States, a protocol meeting the American side. Recorded the smallest details.
Thus was created the appropriate background information. Numerous experts spoke with predictions as to what will open "a new era in bilateral relations." According to our observations, estimates ranged between two extremes. Some called the talks "historic". It was pointed out that for the first time in four years the President of Turkey take the White House. Citing historical records relations between the two countries, "talking heads" assured viewers and listeners that the US "will never betray the interests of Turkey, a NATO ally in the Middle East, as the country occupies an extremely important strategic position in the region." While leading profusely quoted excerpts from a letter the group members of the US Congress from the Democratic and Republican Trump, which stated that "Erdogan carries out domestic suppression of human rights policy, departs from the principles of democracy and democratic values." But Turkish experts continue to assert that "Trump at all turn a blind eye."
Other evaluated the relationship between Ankara and Washington as "critical", and considered the results of the negotiations in the projection of future developments both in Turkey and in the region. The fact that Erdogan harshly criticized Obama's Middle East policy, accusing him of supporting the Syrian Kurds, strengthening the role of Iran and even in appearance in Syria Russian Military Space Forces. Turkish President confidently said that since he somehow fails to agree with everything the new American administration, will begin with the US joint action in Syria and Iraq. But the day before, 9-May, the White House announced the supply of arms to the Kurdish People's Protection Units, which is part of the Syrian Democratic Forces (DSS), who were preparing to storm the Syrian city of Raqqa. On the eve of the visit, Erdogan expressed hope that the US will change his mind: "I want us to consider all of the information received by rumors. I emphasize this with caution. That's what I want to see it and I think that my visit will be a turning point in this matter. "
However, the Americans believe the Kurdish militant groups best units and key allies in the fight against LIH (organization, whose activities are prohibited in the Russian Federation), no matter how much Ankara may say that it was "terrorists", the armed wing or cell gap in Turkey's Kurdish "terrorist" organization - Kurdistan Workers' party (PKK). Turkey began to act with open threats of Washington, has threatened to close the air space of the country for the United States Air Force and the US Air Force base in Incirlik. In order not to seem as if Ankara throw words to the wind, 15 May the Turkish authorities denied the group of deputies of the Bundestag to visit German military personnel stationed at this airbase, after which the Ministry of Defense of Germany has promised to consider the transfer of its military from Turkey to Jordan. Some thought that Erdogan will dare to open battle and Trump himself when declared its readiness "to withdraw from the US-led international coalition against LIH" (organization that is banned in Russia), to create "their" coalition with Arab countries. But people familiar with the Turkish sources claimed that in fact it was about the preparation of the transaction - an agreement under which Turkey will give Rakka Syrian Americans and their Kurdish allies in exchange for Washington's consent to the invasion of Turkish troops in Iraq Sinjar district, the stronghold of the PKK.
What is the result?
Trump talks and Erdogan at the White House lasted only 20 minutes. Then they went out to the press, made statements and left. It turns out that, despite the mutual declaration of intent to establish economic relations and to cooperate in the fight against terrorism, the key differences between Ankara and Washington remain.
That is exactly what the US President said: "Today we are faced with a new enemy and must fight it together. We are faced with a number of terrorist attacks in recent years, we stand together and offer our support to the people of Turkey. We support Turkey, which is at the forefront of the fight against terrorism, which is fighting with terrorist groups such as the LIH (organization, whose activities are prohibited in the Russian Federation) and the PKK. "
Now give Erdogan's statement: "Taking into account (interest), YPG and PYD (Kurdish organizations in Syria - ST) in the region will never be accepted by Turkey. This is contrary to a global agreement that we have achieved. We must not allow these groups to manipulate the religious and ethnic structure of the region, using terrorism (the fight against terrorism - ST) as an excuse or an apology. "
Hence, the main conclusions.
First. Differences between Turkey and the US policy of building in Syria, and in general in the region, becoming sustainable.
Second. Turkey is no longer the main US partner in the region, regardless of their membership in NATO.
Third. The results of Erdogan's talks with Trump in Washington can have - and this in the first place - a negative impact on the political situation in Turkey itself.
In short, the Middle East geopolitical mystery continues to unfold. Ahead of us is still a lot of important events. And Erdogan too.