The election results in the Netherlands globalists interpreted as a victory - everything offensive "populists, isolationists" stopped, broken-trend, and further surprises wait is not worth it. So whether it really is and in what condition it is now processes reshape the political map of Europe?
And Prime Minister Rutte, the Netherlands and the leaders of Europe rejoiced at the results of the election to the Dutch parliament as if Trump lost the presidential election in the United States. Holland stopped the domino effect, populist wave of extremists will not, Europe will be united, shame xenophobes.
We in Russia is happening in Europe concerned primarily in terms of how it affects our conflict with supranational powers, globalist elite Atlantic project. More precisely, in their conflict with us - not because we started it. If they have a holiday, then perhaps they become stronger and it will increase the level of confrontation with us? Of course, this is not a simple linear relationship - but the globalist elite Russia in general and Putin in particular, are undoubtedly the main opponent, so the more they have internal problems, so we, of course, easier.
This pragmatism does not mean that in a relationship with the same Europe Russia based on the principle "the worse it is, the better for us." In the Western countries themselves now there are complex internal processes, caused by, among other things, and most of European integration policy. Russia leads with Europe complex, multi-level and strategic game in which payment is made in the years ahead. That is why it is important to understand what trends are gaining momentum, and which are weakening, that will change in the next five years, and that will remain unchanged and in 20.
This is not just "work with the staff" or political forces - a process analysis. Three years ago, after the annexation of Crimea, it was clear that Putin's conflict with the modern Atlantic elite end, to be exact - will be weakened only after the change of the composition. Then, Putin complained that European politicians are not independent, they can not defend the interests of their own countries - but expressed the hope that this situation ever end yes.
Indeed, fast enough Atlantic monolith, for the sake of the strained Russian blockade, has cracked. As the internal contradictions of globalization and resistance to it has already raised the question of the retreat of the West in the world - and the question was only when and how things will break.
As it turned out, everything burst in 2016 - first Brexit, and then Trump's victory revealed the depth of the gap between the elites and the western population. Further impose globalization, pretending that nothing is happening, that only marginalized and extremists are unhappy, it was already impossible. The United States and Europe have accumulated so much internal problems that it was in the interests of the supranational elites themselves to take a break, try to turn back, regroup forces, make concessions, and sacrifice. In general, try to retain full control over the West - otherwise the growth of discontent and problems will simply be wrecked by the ruling elites, leading to counter-and even anti-elites.
All these western elite and will be engaged. More precisely, nothing else, and it will remain to do when antielitnaya wave will sweep across all Western countries. And this is happening before our eyes. The current political landscape will be greatly changed. Shadow elite and puppeteers, old money and tribal aristocracy, of course, in the end will keep the thread control in their hands - but they have to go through some very nervous years, during which will go to and the redistribution of influence within "closed clubs".
Now on the agenda is nothing less than the fate of Europe, including its three largest countries: the UK, Germany and France. whether a united Europe to preserve? Whether single UK to save? whether Germany will be the move away from the US? Returns whether France is currently the absolute sovereignty?
These are issues for the coming years, even decades - but there are things that are being solved right now, this year. In particular, in the elections in Germany and France. A month later, the French will choose the president, and in September the Germans will elect their own parliament. It was from these elections that such attention was paid to the vote in Holland - here, the Dutch will set an example for the French and Germans. And it turns out that once the Eurosceptics, that is the opponents of the EU, did not take the first place in the Netherlands, the chances for which they were given some polls of a month ago, everything, now in Paris and Berlin everything will end "well." Good for the ruling, pro-Atlantic elites - but why did they take it?
Even without going into the specifics of the Dutch party and electoral system, it may be noted that Wilders' party won a third more votes than five years ago, and the two ruling parties won half the seats. That is the failure of those in power - and the lack of success of those who imagined himself the only non-system power and who strongly marginalized all other parties (because Wilders 'fascist').
To Wilders' party won only 13 percent, not twice, had to go as the interception of its agenda (and this makes both won first place party premier Rutte, and became the third Christian Democrats), and the frenzied whipping appearance ( under the same slogans "stop the terrible threat"), which reached a record level for the Netherlands.
But the main thing is not this - the results of the elections in Holland do not contradict the obvious trend of growing popularity of Eurosceptics. Moreover, they confirm it. Eurosceptics are a conditional name. In fact, opposition to both the EU and, first of all, to the ruling elite of power has been growing in recent years in most European countries. Due to the fact that these parties are anti-elite, they are called populist - but the empty term "populist" only masks the misunderstanding by the ruling elites of the ongoing processes. The Western voter was tired of the right-left professional demagogues, from the class of party politicians that formed after World War II - and wants to change it, not only the actors themselves, but the entire repertoire.
Hence, the new formed below the party, and the growing popularity of the old, but the anti-systemic and "extremist", in the terminology of the ruling elites, parties - "Podemos", "Five Star", "National Front" Freedom Party, "Alternative for Germany". This process is gaining momentum and slowly these parties will take power in their own countries.
When at a conference that the leaders of the Eurosceptic parties (Le Pen, Wilders, Frauke Petri, Salvini) spent 21 January (the day after Trump's inauguration), one of those present said that future presidents and prime ministers of Europe, he was absolutely right. Not immediately, not this year, or even in five years - but in all key European countries, those who say that they care about people, about what the "system", pro-European politicians are afraid to say come to power. Within two months, Marin Le Pen can enter the Champs-Elysees - and it will blow up the Old World.
But even if she loses the election to the candidate artificial - for her in the second round vote, almost half of French voters, it remains the most popular politician in France. In 2022 year it will host the presidential palace.
The same trends are gaining momentum, and in other European countries - and they all end the same way. You can invent artificial politicians as Macron in France, but it is impossible to stop the process, who has come so far.